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Supply Chain Planning – 5 Levels of Time Horizon and Complexity Hierarchy
18 Feb

Supply Chain Planning – 5 Levels of Time Horizon and Complexity Hierarchy

There are multiple levels of supply chain planning within an organisation, as well as numerous functional divisions. Most businesses formally revise their profit plans at least once a year. The 5 levels of Supply Chain Planning Horizon acknowledge that planning is a continuous process that occurs at various levels and times depending on resource availability. All of the functional plans must also work together to ensure that they mesh and support the overarching strategy and objectives of the organisation.

To support the long-term plan, it is crucial to have a plan with several time frames (time-phased plans) that work together. Each time-phase also results in a shift in complexity. The diagram below illustrates how the five levels of supply chain planning work together, along with how frequently they are reviewed and how sophisticated their organisational structure is, from Low to High.

Organisations typically use a range of names to describe the different planning levels. In this blog, I’ll briefly go over the components of the supply chain planning building block that make up a typical organization’s profit plan, sales inventory & operations planning (SIOP), master plan, material planning (Mat. Plan), and factory planning or line scheduling.

Supply Chain Planning Horizon/Review Frequency

Profit Forecast, Annual/Quarterly

The Profit Plan, which is the highest degree of supply chain planning and also has the longest duration, is evaluated quarterly and is often extended over a period of 12 months. Financial planning is based on the profit plan. You might foresee the requirement for greater investment in receivables, inventory, the introduction of new products, headcounts, capital investments, or facilities using the information generated from the profit plan.

The profit plan takes into account an organization’s goals, general service needs, and management’s plans for achieving the organization’s vision. The process is complicated by the fact that these plans frequently involve cross-functional teams.This phase of supply chain planning outlines the anticipated effects of supply chain activities on the company’s revenues, costs, and working capital.

Sales Inventory & Operations Planning (SIOP) – Monthly

SIOP is one of the key processes in every business, or it should be, hence it requires multiple blogs or even book(s) to explain its fundamentals! Simply said, the SIOP process gives a general picture of the company’s Sales, Inventory, and Operations Planning approach! Its goal is to make it easier for you to comprehend how supply and demand are balanced during planning.

It provides a method of organisational reform that will…

  1. Balance employee understanding of supply capacity and market demand.
  2. Establish a common language for information sharing among all functional groups

 

Demand Forecasting Methods

SIOP is a cross-functional Supply Chain Planning process designed to keep demand and supply in balance by:

  1. Monitoring external market demand changes through the Sales department.
  2. Communicating market changes to the internal organization

The SIOP which is 5 Step monthly process (shown below) helps the business and Supply Chain communities proactively plan for changes in demand by Monitoring the External Market.

SIOP as Supply Chain Process:

  • is a forecasting and decision making process,
  • involves every department in the business,
  • gives the visibility and alignment on the middle term demand (2-18 months)

It is a monthly process

  • That provides realistic demand, production, and inventory plans to meet customer requirements.
  • That is implemented by a cross-functional team
  • That is documented and agreed by all parties
  • That provides communication and co-ordination of activities in different departments

Read this blog “Top 7 Best Sales and Operations Planning Books” to know where to learn more.

S&OP

Please watch this video to understand the concepts of Levels of Supply Chain Planning:

 

Master Plan or Master Production Schedule (MPS)- Monthly/Weekly

The master level or top-level schedule used to set the production plan in a manufacturing facility on a monthly basis but spread over a number of weeks. APICS considers the term Master Production Schedule (MPS) and Master Schedule to be synonymous and defines them as “The anticipated build schedule for those items assigned to the master scheduler. It represents what the company plans to produce expressed in a specific configuration, quantities and dates.” However, Everdell (1987) defines the master schedule as referring to the “presentation of information that expresses how a master scheduler has decided to satisfy the demand placed on the ‘end item’ by determining production quantities to be completed on specific schedule.”

In theory, Master Production Schedule is the linking pin between the marketing and sales (sales orders, forecasting), manufacturing operations and engineering functions. The MPS function should aim to develop and maintain a manufacturing plan which is satisfactory for all three functions. Moreover, the master schedule is reconciled monthly with the rough cut supply plan resulting from the SIOP Supply planning process.

The Master Production Scheduler (or equivalent process owner) creates and maintains the Master Production Schedule in the ERP system. The MPS is used to drive and direct all manufacturing, purchasing, and manufacturing related engineering activities. To have successful MPS, BOM Accuracy and Inventory Accuracy are key.

BOM Accuracy– The Engineering Manager (or equivalent process role) creates and maintains the engineering BOM’s and facilitates the translation of engineering BOM’s into manufacturing BOM’s. The Manufacturing Manager (or equivalent process role) creates and maintains the manufacturing BOM based on coordination with the Engineering Manager’s engineering BOM’s.

Inventory Accuracy– Demonstrating inventory management abilities by performing cycle counting on a regular basis and an annual physical inventory. There needs to also be a demonstrated ability to identify and correct inventory errors outside of these physical counts on a daily basis.

Materials Planning – Weekly/Daily

In most companies there is a material planning process that maintains valid material plans along with a control process that communicates priorities through either MRP, production schedules, supplier schedules, Min/Max planning and / or Kanban for replenishment as an example on daily or weekly basis. Materials planning are daily to weekly activity in most operations to maintain required customer service. Again like SIOP, material planning is a topic of greater depth and breadth in terms of the key concepts. However, here are brief definitions of some key techniques:

Min-max planning- An inventory planning technique that uses min and max inventory values for items and maintains on hand balances between these two levels

Kanban planning- An inventory planning technique that determines Kanban size, number of Kanban cards, minimum order quantity, lead times, lot multipliers and safety stock days

Reorder point planning- An inventory planning technique that uses reorder point and reorder quantity values for items and maintains on-hand balances required to meet forecasted demand during lead time plus safety stock

MRP- The original MRP dates back to 1960s, when letters stood for materials requirements planning (now called MRP or MRP I). MRP enables a company to calculate how many materials of particular types are required, and at what times they are required (Slack et. al., 2004*). MRP in itself is massive topic and entire chapter can be dedicated to explaining this!

Factory Plan or Line Scheduling – Daily

The production line scheduling process is owned by Supply Chain/Materials Planning Team. The Supply Chain/Materials team decides how constrained materials will be allocated to meet what customer demand. Operations/Manufacturing is involved in constrained capacity decisions to meet the line schedule (demand) which is presented in shape of work orders which is to be released when MRP run overnight daily (if you are using ERP/MRP). If managed by Kanban or Min-Max systems, then planners need to maintain inventory levels to the trigger levels to maintain Min-Max stocks or Kanban quantities.

Planners must ensure line schedules are aligned with MPS or SIOP; also work orders are maintained for aging or volume to assure alignment with SIOP or actual demand, in other words, line scheduling process has to be fully integrated with SIOP. The daily work that is given to lines/cells should be in line with the agreed-upon production plan level with production folks. Furthermore, attainment and/or linearity to this plan is tracked and managed.

Lastly, line scheduling processes must be aligned with the On Time Delivery (OTD) Policy, drive sufficient inventory visibility and reduction in premium freight.

Conclusion

As a supply chain professional, you’ll always feel like you have more work to do.

Instead of burning yourself out, look for ways to do supply chain planning more efficiently at different levels, so we have to fire fight less.

The 5 levels of Supply Chain Planning I have mentioned in this blog have always been there in some shape or form. What I have tried to do is drive the focus in the frequency of these planning ‘horizons’ and how they are stacked in the planning ‘hierarchy’, so you can improve your supply chain performance and possibly business as a whole.

If you actually apply some of them, you will be able to get the same results in half the time I did!

If you have any questions about the Supply Chain Planning horizons & complexity or have any experience applying it in your life or business, leave your thoughts in a comment below I’d love to hear from you

*Slack, N., Chambers, S., and Johnston, R. (2004), Operations Management, Pearson Education Limited, Essex.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) About the 5 Levels of Supply Chain Planning

What are the 5 levels of the supply chain planning horizon?

Supply chain planning is a continuous process divided into five time-phased levels, ranging from long-term strategic to short-term operational:

  1. Profit Forecast / Plan: (Annual/Quarterly)
  2. Sales, Inventory & Operations Planning (SIOP): (Monthly)
  3. Master Production Schedule (MPS): (Monthly/Weekly)
  4. Materials Planning: (Weekly/Daily)
  5. Factory Plan / Line Scheduling: (Daily)

What is the purpose of the Profit Plan?

Evaluated annually or quarterly, the Profit Plan is the highest level of supply chain planning. It outlines the anticipated financial effects of supply chain activities on revenues, costs, and working capital. This long-term financial plan guides strategic decisions regarding capital investments, new product introductions, facilities, and headcount.

How does the SIOP process function?

Sales, Inventory & Operations Planning (SIOP) is a monthly cross-functional process designed to balance supply capacity with external market demand. It provides visibility and alignment for middle-term demand (typically 2 to 18 months out), ensuring that realistic production and inventory plans are agreed upon by all departments.

What role does the Master Production Schedule (MPS) play?

The MPS acts as the critical linking pin between marketing/sales, manufacturing, and engineering. It takes the rough-cut supply plan from the SIOP process and translates it into a specific, anticipated build schedule. It determines exact configurations, quantities, and dates for production, which in turn drives all purchasing and manufacturing activities. (Note: MPS relies heavily on accurate Bills of Materials (BOM) and highly accurate inventory records).

What are the common techniques used in weekly and daily Materials Planning?

Materials planning ensures valid material priorities are communicated to maintain customer service. Common techniques include:

  • Min-Max Planning: Maintaining on-hand inventory balances strictly between a set minimum and maximum level.
  • Kanban Planning: Using visual signals or cards to trigger specific replenishment quantities based on lead times and safety stock.
  • Reorder Point Planning: Triggering a new order when inventory drops to a level just high enough to cover forecasted demand during the lead time, plus safety stock.
  • Material Requirements Planning (MRP): Calculating exactly how many materials of particular types are required, and exactly when they are needed based on the master schedule.

What is the focus of daily Line Scheduling or Factory Planning?

Line scheduling is the most granular level of planning, executed daily by the Supply Chain or Materials team. It dictates how constrained materials are allocated on the factory floor to meet customer demand. It translates higher-level plans into daily work orders for the production line, ensuring that daily output aligns strictly with On-Time Delivery (OTD) policies and the overarching SIOP.


About the Author- Dr Muddassir Ahmed

Dr. Muddassir Ahmed is a globally recognized supply chain expert, thought leader, and keynote speaker. As the Founder & CEO ofDr. Muddassir Ahmed SCMDOJO, he has built one of the world’s leading platforms dedicated to empowering supply chain professionals with cutting-edge knowledge, practical tools, and access to expert insights. With over 19 years of leadership experience spanning the UK, Europe, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia, Dr. Ahmed has held key roles at Bridgestone, Doncasters Group, Eaton, and Volvo Cars, managing multi-million-dollar supply chain operations.

His expertise spans all facets of supply chain management, with a particular focus on leveraging technology and innovation to optimize processes and build resilient supply chains.

Recognized among the Top 10 Supply Chain Influencers in the World by Supply Chain Digital, Dr. Ahmed has been instrumental in shaping industry best practices through his extensive research, vlogs, and thought leadership. Holding a PhD in Management Science from Lancaster University Management School, he is also a certified Six Sigma Black Belt.

His platform, SCMDOJO, serves a vibrant community with over 51,000 monthly visitors. Moreover, he has 72,000 newsletter subscribers, and a social media following exceeding 105,000 supply chain professionals

A sought-after keynote speaker and thought leader, sharing his insights on industry trends, best practices, and the future of supply chain management. Dr. Ahmed delivers high-impact talks on supply chain excellence, digital transformation, and strategic leadership. His mission is clear: to help supply chains thrive

You can follow him on LinkedIn, Facebook, Twitter, TikTok or Instagram

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